Accurate forecasting through capital market analysis![]() The claim: To be ahead!The aim is not just to forecast as comprehensive a range of economic indices as possible, but also to identify in good time and accurately forecast the most important factors affecting the future development of yields on capital markets. Simply analysing and processing periodic flows of economic and inflation data may advertise skills but it does not create any true added value for investment management. In case of doubt, the ever-increasing flow of data only confuses matters further. The success of BANTLEON BANK AG is due to continuously establishing and extending leads in the supply of information. The capital market analysis of BANTLEON BANK AG specialises in developing its own analysis and forecasting instruments based on quantitative and statistical methods. Turning points in the economic climate and inflationary trends are therefore detected up to nine months before they are generally recognised. The capital market analyses of BANTLEON BANK AG are therefore not an end in themselves. Unlike in most investment banks, the analyses are not produced for marketing purposes. The key task is to analyse the fundamental, technical and quantitative framework conditions of European and US bond markets. The crucial factors determining changes in yield are at the centre of this process: the interaction between inflation, the economy and monetary policy. Econometrically sound yield structure and interest spread forecasts are produced on this basis! The analysis results are continuously updated and made available to the investment bodies of BANTLEON BANK AG and the fund investors each week, in the »Financial Market Monitor«. The »Quantitative Analysis« segment also performs important cross-sectional functions within BANTLEON BANK AG. Statistical methods and processes are very important in Risk Controlling and Portfolio Management in particular. |
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